Comments on: Countdown South India – Elections 2009

By: chakresh

chakresh — Tue, 17 Feb 2009 06:59:17 +0000

see original article with detailed analysis of whole country.
http://promiseofreason.com/series/countdown-to-general-election-2009/

By: Raja Reddy

Raja Reddy — Thu, 05 Feb 2009 17:41:06 +0000

For AP you need to do a detailed analysis including the track record of candidates and alliances. Maha combine (TDP TRS CPI and CPM) together and Congress+AIMIM, PRP+NTP, BJP is a four sided contest.
Analysing past sitatuion Maha has a total of 45 to 60 percent vote bank(total Ap and in telangana). congress 30 percent. BJP 5 to 10 percnet. With PRP eating into all others it could be advantage Mahacomibine. TDP TRS etc all set to win more than 80 seats in telangana. and 15 MPs in Telangana. So even with a three way split it could be like this :
TRS 6(min worst case) 10 (best case scenario)
TDP : 12 worst case. 22 best case scenario.
Remaining going to BJP(0-2) AIMIM(1 or zero) CPs(2 to 4) COngress :4 to 12. PRP(0-6).

By: L V Nagarajan

L V Nagarajan — Sat, 31 Jan 2009 06:51:04 +0000

Good Analysis. But I don’t feel exactly happy with the analysis. I am totally disgusted with the present day politicians of all colours. Is there a way to improve their lot? Yes there is, by sweeping electoral reforms. (Please refer to my blog: http://lvnaga.wordpress.com/2008/08/01/indian-democracy/)
But there is no hope that these reforms will see the light of the day, as they are against the interest of the people (the MPs and MLAs) who are supposed to implement them.
The next best things to do is to vote them out lock stock and barrel in the next general elections (2009). Can we do it? YES WE CAN. Please see my blog:
http://lvnaga.wordpress.com/2009/01/21/democratic-revolution/.
I would love to have your comments on the above blogs